SNAPCOUNT

Player Board

A validated yards & receptions projection, a calibrated boom/bust read, and availability built in — and we show our misses.

Beats recency 4/4 seasons (WR · TE) On-par with the market (RotoWire) Confidence calibrated ECE < 0.02 Injury-aware slate gate

Reveal actual results

Player

Projection

Boom / Bust confidence

Actual

Boom upside Steady median Volatile Bust risk · yards = passing/rushing/receiving, all equal · TD is a volume-based estimate (high-variance — we don't rank on it)

Why trust the number

Validated, not vibes. Projections of yards + receptions ranked position-pure across 2021–2024, walk-forward. Beats the recency baseline in 4/4 seasons on WR & TE, 3/4 on RB.

Honest about the market. We sit on-par with RotoWire (within ~0.02–0.05). The projection is opportunity × efficiency — your own signal, no borrowed odds.

Calibrated confidence. When we say 70% boom, it means 70% — reliability error under 0.02. We surface a boom/bust read only where the model has one (strongest on TE).

Touchdowns, honestly. TDs are high-variance — we show a volume-based expected estimate, but we project yards & receptions and never rank on TD noise.